中國(guo)儲能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)網(wang)(wang)(wang)訊:工業(ye)(ye)(ye)互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)獲(huo)政策加碼(ma),能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)或將(jiang)迎來發(fa)展機遇據中國(guo)經營報消息,十三屆(jie)全(quan)(quan)國(guo)人大一次會議上,全(quan)(quan)國(guo)政協委員、國(guo)家電(dian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)公(gong)司董事長舒印(yin)彪表示(shi),國(guo)家電(dian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)將(jiang)分別在供給側(推(tui)動清(qing)潔能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)發(fa)電(dian)并網(wang)(wang)(wang))、消費側(推(tui)動電(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)代替提升用(yong)電(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)效,發(fa)展電(dian)動汽車行業(ye)(ye)(ye))以及傳(chuan)輸側(與民營企業(ye)(ye)(ye)以及當地國(guo)資進行微電(dian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)建設(she))推(tui)動能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)的(de)全(quan)(quan)面(mian)發(fa)展。能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)是(shi)工業(ye)(ye)(ye)互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)在能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)領域的(de)實質性落(luo)地,是(shi)互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網(wang)(wang)(wang)與能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)生(sheng)產(chan)、傳(chuan)輸、存儲、消費深度融合的(de)產(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)發(fa)展新形態,對優化(hua)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)資源(yuan)(yuan)配置,提高能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)利(li)用(yong)效率,推(tui)動能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)供應與工業(ye)(ye)(ye)生(sheng)產(chan)需(xu)求互(hu)聯(lian)(lian)互(hu)通具有重要意(yi)義。在近期政策不(bu)斷加碼(ma)的(de)背景下,我們建議投資者應積極給予(yu)關注。
能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網或將(jiang)(jiang)以(yi)(yi)電(dian)(dian)力(li)為(wei)主(zhu),基于(yu)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網架構(gou)構(gou)建(jian)三大平(ping)臺(tai)(tai)相比較其它一次能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan),電(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)在能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)傳(chuan)輸與(yu)轉換(huan)等方(fang)面都更具優勢(shi),電(dian)(dian)網的(de)(de)基礎(chu)設(she)施也相對較為(wei)完備,因此我們認為(wei)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網或將(jiang)(jiang)會以(yi)(yi)電(dian)(dian)力(li)為(wei)主(zhu),以(yi)(yi)一次能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)為(wei)輔。電(dian)(dian)力(li)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網將(jiang)(jiang)基于(yu)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網理念,設(she)計實(shi)現不同層級以(yi)(yi)及(ji)不同網絡(luo)架構(gou)之間的(de)(de)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯互(hu)(hu)(hu)通(tong)。電(dian)(dian)力(li)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網的(de)(de)核心是(shi)構(gou)建(jian)一個能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)、數(shu)(shu)據(ju)和資金三合一的(de)(de)互(hu)(hu)(hu)聯網平(ping)臺(tai)(tai)。其中,能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)交(jiao)換(huan)平(ping)臺(tai)(tai)將(jiang)(jiang)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)促進(jin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)交(jiao)換(huan),尤其是(shi)微網內的(de)(de)新能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)交(jiao)換(huan);數(shu)(shu)據(ju)交(jiao)換(huan)平(ping)臺(tai)(tai)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)夠促進(jin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)大數(shu)(shu)據(ju)的(de)(de)深度挖掘,為(wei)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)生產、傳(chuan)輸、消(xiao)費以(yi)(yi)及(ji)政府(fu)部門提供(gong)決(jue)策依據(ju);資金交(jiao)換(huan)平(ping)臺(tai)(tai)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)夠促進(jin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)靈活交(jiao)易。
能源互(hu)聯網漸入推廣(guang)期,未來市場空間大
能(neng)(neng)源互(hu)聯網當前正處(chu)于(yu)示范項(xiang)目密集落地(di)階段(duan),未來發(fa)(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)方(fang)向明確。按(an)照(zhao)國家規劃,今年國家示范網絡趨于(yu)成熟,2019年將進入能(neng)(neng)源互(hu)聯網全面推廣期,我們預計未來市場空(kong)間大(da)。能(neng)(neng)源互(hu)聯網旨在建立新(xin)型能(neng)(neng)源市場交(jiao)易體系和商業運營模(mo)式,發(fa)(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)分布式能(neng)(neng)源、儲(chu)能(neng)(neng)和電(dian)動汽(qi)車應(ying)用、智慧用能(neng)(neng)和增值服(fu)務(wu)、綠色(se)能(neng)(neng)源靈活交(jiao)易、能(neng)(neng)源大(da)數據服(fu)務(wu)應(ying)用等新(xin)模(mo)式和新(xin)業態。
建(jian)議投資者關注相關領域布局(ju)的龍頭企業(ye)。
提(ti)前布局(ju)的企(qi)業有(you)望充分享受市場紅利
能(neng)源互(hu)聯網(wang)的(de)運營企業需要(yao)提(ti)供面向最終用戶的(de)一攬子解決(jue)方案,包(bao)括電(dian)力(li)規劃、設計、安(an)全(quan)、數據分(fen)(fen)析、運維等,在(zai)電(dian)力(li)行(xing)業具備多年信息化經驗和提(ti)供綜合解決(jue)方案的(de)能(neng)力(li)的(de)企業有望受益(yi)。能(neng)源互(hu)聯網(wang)有望推(tui)動以分(fen)(fen)布式發電(dian)為(wei)(wei)主(zhu)的(de)新能(neng)源逐步替代大規模(mo)集中利用的(de)化石燃料成為(wei)(wei)主(zhu)要(yao)能(neng)源,布局(ju)新能(neng)源發電(dian)的(de)企業也將(jiang)有望受益(yi)。
投資建議
我(wo)們認為(wei),能(neng)源互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網作(zuo)為(wei)工業(ye)互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網的一個重要子領域有望迎(ying)來發(fa)展機遇。國內的能(neng)源互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網產業(ye)蘊含著較大的投(tou)資價值,我(wo)們建議可以從能(neng)源互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網運營(ying)、新(xin)能(neng)源發(fa)電及儲能(neng)等領域來尋找(zhao)投(tou)資機會(hui)。推薦新(xin)能(neng)源儲能(neng)龍頭南都電源,建議關(guan)注能(neng)源互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)網運營(ying)龍頭中恒電氣。
風險提示:能源互聯網項目推進不達預期,建設規模低于預期,國家扶持政策力度低于預期,出臺速度慢于預期。